Offensively, Penner and Vrbata lead the way with 4 SC each, although Penner was able to finish twice on Grade “B” chances, whereas Vrbata ended up with only 1 assist despite authoring one of the 7 Grade “A” chances in the game. Since there are more scoring chance events than goals, this provides us with a much clearer picture of a player’s overall efficiency, especially over multiple games. An interesting number to focus on is the SC+/-, which works the same way the traditional +/- stat does, but for EV chances instead of goals. ![]() We can easily decipher the dominant skaters in the game with a quick glance at the individual numbers (third sheet): Radim Vrbata, Keith Yandle, Shane Doan and Mike Ribeiro lead the way for Phoenix while Dustin Penner was a clear standout for Anaheim. Goals are also shown by chance grade (NC denoting goals scored on non-scoring chance situations, none in this particular game). The team stats are shown on the second sheet, detailing chances by period, by grade and by man strength situation. The other sheets of the file summarize the scoring chance related stats from the game. The momentum carried on to much of the third period as Anaheim seemed content to play prevent defense, but the three-goal deficit was simply too much to overcome. The Coyotes had their customary push-back (they’ve been having difficulties at the start of games all season) after Anaheim scored their fourth goal late in the second. Notice how the Ducks came off an early penalty kill to completely take over the second half of the first period (even though shots were 15-8 PHO in the first). There were evident shifts in puck possession momentum and the first sheet of the file (“Chance Tracker”) illustrates that very well. This was in reality a very free-flowing, but tightly contested game featuring great team speed on both sides and allot of offensive involvement from the back end. ![]() 24 blocked).īut the Ducks won the scoring chances battle 18-16. ![]() Here is what Corsi and Fenwick proponents would use to analyse the general outlook of this game:Īnaheim total shot attempts: 51 (incl. The first thing I noticed in this particular game is the obvious discrepancy between what the traditional shot attempts stats tell us and the scoring chances final tally. Gathering enough data using this tracking method to make it a worthwhile statistical endeavor would be a painstaking task and I certainly don’t qualify as a good candidate to carry it out at this moment. I am very much aware of the constraints my methodology presents: it took me several hours of work to prepare the spreadsheets for just this one game. NB:Let me start by clearly re-stating that this whole exercise is simply an individual effort to contribute a new tool that helps record scoring chance events as objectively as possible a tool that would also provide more contextual detail than is currently available (i.e. ![]() The legend for the rest of the category columns can be found on the file’s last sheet. Then as the NHL does for goals, the man strength situation ( Str) is recorded along with all the on-ice players’ numbers for both teams. And it lived up to expectations.īefore we get to game analysis using the downloadable spreadsheets I’ve provided, let’s set up the “Scoring Chances Tracker” legend and explain its contents.įor every scoring chance tracked, we will start by recording the team credited as well as the period and time of occurrence. This was a big match-up of Western Conference powerhouses and sure to be filled with playoff-type intensity and speed. 23 rd) as the subject-game for this presentation. I finally chose the Anaheim at Phoenix match-up from last Saturday (Nov. I present my scoring chances tracker spreadsheets, complete with game summaries for team and individual statistics. Last week a grading system was established and presentedbecause scoring chances vary greatly in terms of their goal-scoring expectancy and this needs to be recognized within the tracking system. In the first of my three-part series on scoring chances, I argued that the time has come for the ‘advanced hockey stats’ community to track more scoring chance related events.
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